Missiles vs. Interceptors: Can Iran Outlast Israel in a War of Attrition?

Iran still holds “low thousands” of medium-range ballistic missiles—but how long can it sustain a missile war against Israel and the U.S.?

Murtaza Hussain and Farzan Sabet break down the numbers game between Iran’s offensive arsenal and Israeli–U.S. missile defenses. Sabet suggests Iran may be rationing its firepower, launching small volleys as part of a long-term strategy, while early Israeli strikes may have already created serious operational bottlenecks by destroying launchers.

Sabet explains why rebuilding launch capacity is slow and difficult without outside help—and why Iran may be betting on its higher tolerance for pain in a drawn-out war.

“The thesis is: Iran is being devastated — Israel will be too,” he said.

Watch the full analysis.