2024 Polls Have Just Become Clickbait Creations For Corporate Media

Presidential polling is all over the place right now, making it hard to know who is actually in the lead. But is this because Americans are evenly split, or is the media just getting worse at polling? Mike Papantonio & Farron Cousins discuss more.

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*This transcript was generated by a third-party transcription software company, so please excuse any typos.

Presidential polling is all over the place right now, making it hard to know who's actually in the lead, but it's because Americans are evenly split. Is that the reason, or is media just getting worse at polling? Um, huh. I think it's both. I don't think you can trust a thing you read from polling. I remember New York Times came out with that article that the left went crazy about. My God, you would've thought that they were blowing up the world. The article where it showed that Biden was behind Trump in all the swing states and then New York Times goes crazy about it and every liberal progressive goes crazy about it. But it doesn't mean anything right now, does it? I mean, the guy that wrote this, who was it, Rex Huppke?

Yeah.

Rex Huppke. I don't know who the guy is. He says that he's a leading progressive, a leading political progressive and he's looking at all this, and he's trying to say, look at the things that can change between now and the election. Rights?

Yeah. And he makes a really good point here, because I want to read this, it says, Biden and Trump, as you may have heard, are up in years. One awkward fall or one health emergency, neither outside the realm of possibility, could reshape the race. And it's just, it's weird little things like that, that are absolutely accurate because look, anytime Donald Trump goes out there and he slurs his words, anytime Biden says he just talked to somebody who actually died 10 years ago.

A ghost.

That's a big deal. And it does capture the headlines.

You know what I got to thinking about the other day? The fact that Trump is in a trial, keeping him in a trial out of going around saying stupid stuff is probably helping him. If you really think about it, because just like you say, any given day, he's like, God knows what he's likely to say. Any given day, Biden is likely to run into another wall or fall off the stage. You don't know what's gonna happen. And that's what this writer says. He says, look, we don't know what's, the economy could change. There's all these variables that could take place, but we get so focused on what the poll is, and we talk about those polls. Now, let me be very clear.

Yeah, absolutely.

We talk about the polls, but not for the reason to say it's over. But to say you might want to know, this is important information, and whether it's relevant or not, I don't know. The war in Gaza. I mean, look what it's doing to Biden in just the last few weeks. Trump, who would've thought that his trial is actually increasing his popularity? You don't know.

Well, see, a lot of the things that I always kind of talk about in my videos is, isn't it strange that when you look at the polling aggregates going back six months all the way to today, the polling aggregates always show that they're usually within about half a point of each other?

Yeah.

Like, just never changes. It's always the horse race.

That is.

And that's why the media will put out this poll, suddenly Biden's ahead today, tomorrow Trump's ahead. Because people are, oh my God, what happened? And they click on the story and as soon as you click, boom, they get the advertising dollars. It's a media creation at this point with the polling. And polling has become so much less accurate in the last 10 years.

Look at the last two cycles.

Right.

I mean, they were off so dramatically. You wonder who the hell is doing this?

They were wrong in 2016, 2020.

Yeah. It's like a bunch of caged monkeys trying to figure out what's going on out there. I don't know.