April 11, 2022
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5:08Now PlayingSpeaking to Luke Jones, senior research analyst in oil and gas at Panmure Gordon Ashley Kelty said that it would be "very, very difficult" for European countries to impose sanctions on Russia.
He said: What we are seeing is a lot of the European nations are talking to talk but they're not walking the walk. For example, no French companies have actually pulled out of Russia.
"So BP and Shell have terminated their operations in Russia, Total has not. It still has its 20% stake in Novatek. It said it's not going to invest anymore but it hasn't actually withdrawn from Russia at all."
He added: "The EU gets more than a quarter of its oil needs from Russia at present... They sort of said that they impose sanctions, but they're not starting until the second half of this year, they actually extended the date for the sanctions to come into play rather than bring them forward.
"If the EU did bite the bullet and impose sanctions, I think they would have to face the reality of energy shortages, such as rolling blackouts, rationing of energy, which would impact industry, and this would probably, in the long term, tip the EU into a recession."
Listen to Ashley Kelty on Times Radio.
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