Endemic equilibrium cometh
June 20, 2026
37 min
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270 of 364
June 20, 2026
Endemic equilibrium cometh
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Dr John Campbell Episodes Around June 20, 2026
Episode 270 of 364 — walk the feed in the order it was published.
37:33This episodeEndemic equilibrium cometh
Summary
Virus is close to reaching “endemic equilibrium”
Update on Balira
Link to original Wefeafwa video
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mV7a9MMFbRg&t=15s
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London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/10/24/coronavirus-cases-slump-winter-say-scientists/
Imminent drops in infections
Cases could fall to around 5,000 a day before Christmas
Prof John Edmunds, Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, LSHTM
Member of SAGE
Our model was projecting that cases would start to decline some time in the autumn.
However, the model also suggests that cases may start to climb again in the spring,
due to a combination of waning immunity and increased contacts
Cases currently being driven by high case rates in children
Virus is close to reaching “endemic equilibrium”
Recent oscillations in case rates will soon level
Rishi Sunak
at the moment the data does not suggest that we should be immediately moving to 'Plan B
Maggie Throup, UK vaccines minister
'Plan A' is working, situation where we need to be
United States
Pfizer for children, 5 to 11, FDA votes for EMU tomorrow
From first half of November
2 shots, 3 weeks gap
One third of adult dose
25,000 centres signed up for roll out
28 million children in demographic
https://www.pfizer.com/news/press-release/press-release-detail/pfizer-and-biontech-submit-initial-data-us-fda-pivotal
https://www.pfizer.com/news/press-release/press-release-detail/pfizer-and-biontech-announce-positive-topline-results
https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20210920005452/en/
https://www.fda.gov/media/153447/download
Results are the first from a pivotal trial of any COVID-19 vaccine in children under 12 years of age
In participants 5 to 11 years of age, the vaccine was safe, well tolerated and showed robust neutralizing antibody responses