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Workers Are Getting More Productive. How Will Fed Policy Change?

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December 22, 2025

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The Federal Reserve is forecasting relatively strong GDP growth in 2026, attributable to gains in worker productivity. One long-run economic model indicates that generative AI, powered by machine learning, may have dramatic effects on both labor productivity and employment. Some investors see parallels between today’s investments in artificial intelligence infrastructure and past tech booms.

Credits:

Produced Edited and Animated by: Carlos Waters

Additional Animation: Jason Reginato, Emily Park

Senior Director of Video: Lindsey Jacobson

Washington Deputy Bureau Chief: MC Wellons

Additional Footage: Getty Images

Additional Sources: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

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How AI Is Changing The Fed’s Calculus

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Workers Are Getting More Productive. How Will Fed Policy Change? · CNBC Television · Sentinel