More Patriot Missiles for Ukraine on the Way? /Lt Col Daniel Davis

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Can Ukraine Survive Russia’s Summer Offensive?

Earlier this week, the U.S. announced it would stop sending 155mm artillery shells and air defense missiles to Ukraine. However, President Trump now appears to be reconsidering, saying the U.S. might send more Patriot interceptors after all. This comes amid ongoing, intense Russian air attacks — including recent strikes near Kyiv — that have overwhelmed Ukraine's limited air defenses.

Trump acknowledged the need for these interceptors, calling them effective, but also downplayed expectations, admitting that a few missiles won’t change the war’s outcome. He cited recent attacks involving over 1,000 Russian drones and missiles in just two days — far beyond what Ukraine’s current defenses can handle. The U.S. can only produce about 600 interceptors per month, highlighting the scale of the problem.

In public comments, Trump emphasized that he doesn’t want to see more people die but repeatedly framed the war as “Biden’s deal,” suggesting he may be positioning himself to step back from deeper U.S. involvement. His language lacked firm commitment, hinting that while he might send aid or enforce sanctions, he's unsure it will matter.

He also referenced recent calls with both Putin (on July 3) and Zelensky (on July 4), calling the latter “very strategic.” On sanctions, Trump noted ongoing Senate efforts but cast doubt on their effectiveness, saying Russia has become largely sanctions-proof.

Overall, Trump seems increasingly pragmatic and reluctant, signaling a potential shift back to a strategy of disengagement if he believes the conflict is unwinnable or politically costly.