September 5, 2025
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41:19Now PlayingDaniel Davis Deep Dive Merch: Etsy store
NATO officials, including Jens Stoltenberg before the war and now his successor Mark Rutte, dismiss Russia’s right to influence Ukraine’s NATO prospects, framing it as Ukraine’s sovereign choice. Critics argue this ignores reality: Russia repeatedly warned that NATO in Ukraine meant war, and Moscow followed through in 2022.
Danny suggests that had the West acknowledged “ground truth” in late 2021—accepting Crimea as Russian, implementing the Minsk accords, and ruling out NATO membership—war and its massive casualties could have been avoided. Instead, NATO rhetoric mocked Russia’s stance, leading Moscow to act militarily.
Today, Putin is more direct: any NATO troops in Ukraine will be destroyed, and Russia will continue fighting until its objectives are met unless negotiations produce concessions. He still publicly signals willingness to negotiate, but warns that the longer the West delays, the harsher Russia’s terms will become.
Bottom line: Western dismissal of Russia’s warnings before the war set the stage for conflict. Now, with Russia holding the leverage, ignoring its red lines again risks prolonging the war and worsening Europe’s and Ukraine’s position.
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