PREDICTION: NO TOMAHAWKS for UKRAINE /Lt Col Daniel Davis

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President Trump, speaking from the Oval Office, warned that supplying Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine could dangerously escalate the conflict and deplete U.S. stockpiles of critical weapons. He emphasized that America needs to preserve its own military capacity in case of future conflict and argued that the U.S. has already sent too many powerful weapons overseas.

Commentators agreed that the Tomahawks—older missiles with limited battlefield impact—wouldn’t significantly change the outcome of the war. They criticized the decision to even offer them, calling it strategically inconsistent since the U.S. cannot replenish its arsenal quickly. They argued it will take years to rebuild U.S. munitions production capacity and that continuing to arm Ukraine or engage militarily in other regions (Israel, the Red Sea, Iran) only worsens the depletion.

The broader argument was that Washington should stop “bleeding” its own resources and instead push to end the Ukraine war, which they deem unwinnable and immoral to prolong.

On the diplomatic front, Trump said he believes Putin genuinely wants a deal, though he acknowledged the risk of being “played.” The analysis rejected claims that Putin is deceiving Trump, suggesting instead that Russia seeks to end the war and establish a new European security framework guaranteeing mutual safety.

The segment concluded by warning that if the West continues refusing peace talks—insisting Russia must not “win”—it risks provoking a catastrophic and unnecessary wider war, potentially greater than World War II, stemming from failed Western statecraft and unrealistic strategic assumptions.