Daniel Davis Deep Dive
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U.S. Running Venezuela - So Many Questions /Lt Col Daniel Davis
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January 4, 2026
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Lt Col Daniel Davis praises the tactical brilliance of the overnight U.S. military operation in Venezuela—highlighting flawless planning, overwhelming airpower, disabled air defenses, and the capture of President Nicolás Maduro without U.S. casualties or aircraft losses. However, he strongly cautions against celebrating too early.
He argues that while the raid itself was extraordinary, the hard part begins now: governing Venezuela after regime change. Maduro’s loyal power structures largely remain intact, raising the risk of resistance or insurgency similar to post-invasion Iraq or Libya. Historically, U.S.-led regime change rarely ends smoothly.
Key concerns raised:
Legitimacy and stability: It’s unclear whether Venezuelan elites, security forces, or the public will accept a U.S.-backed leadership.
Risk of insurgency: Those who previously held power may violently resist losing it.
Insider assistance: Maduro’s capture likely required internal betrayal, as he took few precautions despite clear warning signs.
Oil controversy: Trump’s stated intent to control Venezuelan oil to fund reconstruction could spark backlash among Venezuelans and raises legal and international precedent concerns.
Legal and moral risks: Using military force to resolve disputed nationalizations or alleged criminal activity sets a dangerous global precedent.
Unclear justification: Drug trafficking claims are questioned, as Venezuela is not a major source of narcotics entering the U.S.
As the discussion unfolds, live footage shows a U.S. Department of Justice aircraft landing at Stewart Airport surrounded by armed personnel, possibly carrying Maduro, though this remains unconfirmed.
Bottom line:
The operation was a stunning military success, but the aftermath—political control, public acceptance, legal legitimacy, and long-term stability—remains highly uncertain and potentially volatile.
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