April 16, 2026
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Fertilizer prices are climbing, corn futures are rallying, and Kalshi just entered the commodity trading game — here's everything moving ag markets this week.
The Trump administration is weighing support packages for farmers dealing with elevated fertilizer costs, while the DOJ investigates potential price collusion in the sector. Could Kalshi's new 24/7 corn, soybean, and wheat prediction markets actually shake up the CME? We dig into what that could mean for retail and institutional traders alike.
On the crop side, early planting has been disrupted by heavy Corn Belt rainfall — but USDA data shows both corn and soybeans are still running ahead of the five-year average. May corn settled near $4.51, its highest point in over a week.
Plus: ethanol production hits another seasonal high (up nearly 10% year-over-year), NOPA's March crush data sets a near-record despite missing estimates, soy oil stocks hit a 13-year March high, and the S&P 500 closes above 7,000 for the first time ever.
All that plus E15 legislation updates, Corn Belt weather maps, and ethanol margin charts.
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