January 13, 2026
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What will actually decide who can win the Democratic nomination in 2028? Mark Halperin lays out the biggest unanswered questions facing each contender — from fundraising and coalition-building to electability — based on his latest reporting for 8 for ’28.
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Newsom faces scrutiny as frontrunner candidate
Newsom opposes billionaire tax measure backed by unions
Republicans targeting Shapiro to limit his electoral success
Harris leveraging fundraising and Black female voter support
Harris skeptics question her ability to build momentum
Pritzker lacks name recognition and personal profile
Pritzker's television appearances lack effectiveness
Fundraising critical to nomination success
Buttigieg positioned to leverage fundraising advantage
AOC uncertain to run but viewed as top-tier candidate
AOC's candidacy would trigger evaluation of leftist positioning
Khanna leveraging media presence on Epstein files disclosure
Khanna alienating Israel supporters and constituents
Khanna gaining support for opposing Trump and oligarchs
Khanna's momentum may fade as other candidates intensify efforts
Emanuel's candidacy questioned as concept versus actual run
Emanuel well-known among political and media elites
Emanuel's elite support may not translate to voter appeal
Emanuel must demonstrate voter appeal beyond elite circles
Beshear and Moore unlikely to run despite perceived value
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