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BREAKING: James Talarico TAKES LEAD In Texas Senate Race! Leads Paxton AND Cornyn!
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March 10, 2026
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8:36Now PlayingTalarico holds small lead over Cornyn, Paxton in US Senate race, poll finds
A recent poll conducted by Public Policy Polling found that Democrat James Talarico leads both GOP candidates in the U.S. Senate race.
The Republican candidates – incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton – are preparing for a May runoff.
The poll was conducted between March 4 and 5.
AUSTIN, Texas - Some of the first polling of the general election race for U.S. Senate in Texas showed that the Democratic candidate has the lead over both Republicans vying for the seat.
Texas state Rep. James Talarico won the Democratic Party’s nomination during last week’s primary. However, the Republicans running for the office – incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton – are preparing for a May runoff after neither of them cracked the 50% threshold during the primary.
The poll was conducted by Public Policy Polling between March 4 and 5 and asked respondents questions ranging from the favorability of President Donald Trump to their education. Respondents were 30% Democrat, 41% Republican and 30% Independent.
Favorability and matchups
More people held a favorable opinion of Talarico than either Cornyn or Paxton. However, more people saw Paxton as unfavorable than Cornyn.
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The poll also asked people who they would vote for in two different scenarios – Cornyn vs. Talarico and Paxton vs. Talarico. In both cases, more people said they would vote for the Democrat than the Republican.
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What they're saying:
"These numbers suggest a close race regardless of who the GOP nominates," pollsters wrote in a release about the survey. "The Texas Senate race will be highly competitive; driven by Talarico’s broad approval, and Cornyn and Paxton’s general election liabilities."
Trump factor
Respondents were just about evenly split on their approval of Trump’s job performance, with 49% approving and 48% disapproving.
The president notably stayed out of the primary race by not endorsing any candidate.
However, Trump said after the runoff reality of the GOP Senate race that he would be endorsing a candidate "soon" and would ask the other candidate to drop out.
Paxton has said he would consider dropping out of the race if Congress passes the Save America Act, which seeks to require proof of citizenship when registering to vote.
#talarico #jamestalarico #paxton #cornyn #kenpaxton #johncornyn #tx #texas #trump #donaldtrump #senate #txsenate #texassenate
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