Democrats Hope Roe V Wade Decision Will Give Them Midterm Advantage

If Roe gets overturned, Democrats are hoping it will give them an edge in November – but polls are saying it just won’t happen. Mike Papantonio & Farron Cousins discuss more.

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*This transcript was generated by a third-party transcription software company, so please excuse any typos.

If Roe gets overruled Democrats are hoping it's gonna give them an edge in November, but polls are saying it just won't happen. You know, you know in this, when the ruling was leaked, I thought, thank goodness. This is something that maybe the Democrats can grab a hold of. They can energize their base. You know, because they have to, they, they they've gotta energize their base. And when I saw Roe V Wade, I thought, okay, good. This is, this is the chance for them to do something with it. What's your take on it?

I, I had thought from the beginning, you know, just because you and I have been doing this for so long, we have seen outrage after outrage in 20 years of doing this. We have seen so many things going all the way back to the Bush administration where we would sit and have conversations saying, there's no way Republicans can walk away from this. They're done.

Yeah.

And then a week later, nope, we're onto the next outrage.

Why, why is it, why can't look, first of all, the analysis that you and I have talked about, I think, I think this is your theory and I'm, if I can use it, get, tell me if I get wrong. But your theory is when you start slicing the pie that there simply is not enough gravitas in that pie to balance out the people who are indifferent. I mean, is, is that kinda your take on it?

It, it, it really is.

Explain, explain it a little bit because I, I think you got a great theory here.

Well, typically what happens whenever there is an outrage like this and this is something to be outraged about. Don't get me wrong. This is terrifying. But people will start to rationalize it in the same way that George W. Bush, his approval rating, which you know, was 50% his whole administration is now up into the seventies. People forget, people forgive, people move on to the next thing. And even though this is gonna impact people's lives, believe it or not, we've seen it time and time again, they will move on. The outrage will lessen. You can't just stay angry forever.

Mm-hmm.

And unfortunately, if the Democrats are counting on that anger carrying them all the way through November, they're already not paying attention. You know, Democrats were lagging in enthusiasm for the midterms below 50%.

Yeah. There's a general malaise.

Yeah.

That's how you describe it.

And so this, this ruling comes out or at least was leaked and the enthusiasm only jumped up by about four points. And we're still about nine points behind the Republican enthusiasm gap. So this moved the needle, sure. But is it going to affect the races in any way? Maybe one or two. I'm not kidding. We may save about two seats is my estimate from this ruling. It is not gonna reverse the trends that we're already seeing.

Yeah. I, but I would take your prognosis over anybody out there calling shots because I know what your prognosis has been year after year on, on issues like this. And I think you're right. Look, isn't it Carville word, it's the economy stupid.

Yeah.

I mean, James Carville said that's how we're going to elect Bill Clinton. It's the economy stupid. And every time you, you, you get away from that, you allow the Republicans to come in and talk about inflation, about gas prices, about supply chain problems, about Ukraine and how that's expanding, about potential recession that's already on top of us, about this border problem, about the wokeness problem. Those are all, everything I just gave.

Those are on the list, yeah.

Are the Republican talking points. And we see 'em every single day because we have to read the right material along with the left material and we have to somehow, somehow move it to the middle.

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