June 18, 2024
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4:22Now PlayingIt may already be game over for Donald Trump in this year's election as a new poll has found that 21% of Independent voters say that his criminal convictions make it less likely that they will vote for him. They also say that these convictions WILL impact their voting decisions later this year. The only problem is that the public quickly forgets things, and this sentiment could easily die off before we get to November, especially since Trump's other legal cases are likely not happening this year. Ring of Fire's Farron Cousins discusses this.
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*This transcript was generated by a third-party transcription software company, so please excuse any typos.
Donald Trump's campaign may be over before we even get to the nominating convention in July, because according to a new political poll, 21% of independent voters now say they are less likely to vote for Donald Trump. Now that he of course has 34 felony convictions against him, this is a massive number. Losing potentially 21% of support from independent voters is effectively game over for any candidate of any party running in any race anywhere. But that's not all from the hill. A small share of Republicans surveyed said they would be less likely to back the former president after his conviction. 41% of Republicans said the conviction has no impact on their support for Trump, and that it was not important in how they will vote. 28% of Republicans said they were more likely to support Trump and that the guilty verdict was not important in how they vote.
But 7% of Republicans said they are less likely to support Trump and that the conviction was important in determining their vote. Now, by the way, you also have a significant percentage of independents who also say that the conviction will significantly impact their vote. So 21% of independents are now saying, yep, probably not gonna vote for 'em. 7% of Republicans now saying, yeah, probably not gonna vote for him. And this comes at the same time, mind you, that Donald Trump's advisors are out there telling him like, Hey, this conviction's gonna be good for you. You're gonna do great. Look at your crazy fundraising hall. You're raising tens of millions of dollars, hundreds of millions of dollars according to them. Everything is totally awesome for you. Just don't look at the polls, right? 'cause those polls, they're pretty bad. And what I love about it is not only are these polls very bad, they keep getting worse.
Silver lining here for Donald Trump, though the public has a very short attention span. The public has an even shorter memory. And given the fact that we are likely not going to see any of Donald Trump's other criminal trials going to trial this year before the election, that number, that 21% is going to go down. 'cause right now it's fresh on everybody's minds, right? It's one of the biggest things that has happened in years, basically since the Capitol Riot. And how is the public now reacting to the Capitol Riot? The number of people who view the Capitol Riot as an attack on democracy or as an insurrection, has significantly fallen year over year in the last three and a half years since it happened. Time truly does heal all wounds in American
Politics. A majority of people in this country now have a favorable opinion of George W. Bush, whereas when he was president, he struggled to even get half the country to say they like him. The longer we are from a thing, the more likely people are to look back and be like, well, maybe it's not so bad. And given the fact that we now have a little under five months until the election, that is going to be enough time for some of these independents to look back at the conviction that again happened in late May, and be like, well, maybe it's not that bad. Right? So maybe these people stay true to what they're saying right now. Maybe it dies down.
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