Trump's BULLY PULPIT NOT WORKING /Lt Col Daniel Davis & John Kiriakou

Daniel Davis Deep Dive Merch: Etsy store

On the Ukrainian Operation and U.S. Involvement

Skepticism Over Sole SBU Role: There's doubt Ukraine’s SBU could carry out complex operations without external help—suggesting the need for satellite imagery, logistics, and high-level intelligence.

U.S. Likely Involved or Consulted: The absence of criticism from Trump is interpreted as evidence the U.S. was involved or at least consulted; otherwise, Trump would likely be vocally critical.

On Trump’s Silence and Strategy

Strategic Silence: Trump’s lack of public response is seen as a way to protect a joint operation or maintain diplomatic positioning.

Mixed Messaging: While Trump criticizes Russia for attacks, he has been silent on Ukrainian counterstrikes. His strategy seems inconsistent or unclear, possibly attempting to pressure both sides.

Desire for Peace Talks: Trump is serious about facilitating negotiations in Istanbul and is willing to be personally involved if it could help.

On Ukraine’s Position

Posturing at Talks: Ukraine's delegate Umarov made strong demands for a ceasefire and humanitarian steps—knowing full well Russia has repeatedly rejected a ceasefire-first approach.

Pressure on Trump: Some see this as Ukraine trying to force Trump away from negotiations and back into the Biden-era military support and sanctions approach.

On Russia, Sanctions, and War Dynamics

Russia Unfazed by Sanctions: Despite years of “crippling” sanctions, Russia’s economy has endured, aided by trade with China, India, and others. Sanctions have failed to weaken Russia meaningfully.

Sanctions Hurt the Poor: Sanctions primarily affect the most vulnerable in the targeted nations while leadership remains insulated.

Negotiations Over Sanctions: The speaker advocates for diplomacy instead of continued reliance on ineffective sanctions.

On Intelligence and Trump’s Awareness

Uncertainty About What Trump Is Told: There's concern Trump may not be getting accurate assessments from agencies like the CIA regarding the true balance of power.

Misleading Intelligence Risk: If intelligence underestimates Russia’s advantages or overstates Ukraine’s, Trump’s decisions may be based on a distorted picture.

Overall Message:

The U.S. likely had a hand in Ukraine’s recent operations. Trump’s silence suggests coordination or at least consent. However, Ukraine may be leveraging the war’s intensity to keep U.S. military support flowing, despite a peace process that is more symbolic than productive. Sanctions, meanwhile, are shown to be largely ineffective, and diplomacy is advocated as the more viable path forward.