Col Douglas Macgregor: In a War w/Iran, We Run Out of Missiles Before They Do

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Col Doug Macgregor argues that if war begins, Iran would launch large-scale ballistic missile attacks on U.S. bases, ships, command centers in the Gulf, and Israel, causing major damage and sustaining missile strikes longer than the U.S. could. They warn that a massive U.S. air assault would likely begin quickly, but escalation risks spiraling into a broader, prolonged conflict.

The speaker compares the situation to past crises where presidents like Dwight Eisenhower and John F. Kennedy rejected military escalation despite pressure, highlighting the dangers of invading large or resilient adversaries. They suggest Israel sees the current moment as a rare opportunity to eliminate Iran as a strategic rival and is pushing strongly for U.S. involvement.

They argue that U.S. pressure on Iran reinforces the global lesson that only nuclear weapons guarantee sovereignty, potentially accelerating nuclear proliferation worldwide. The decision ultimately depends on President Donald Trump, who is facing pressure from Israeli leadership and U.S. political allies.

The speaker warns that war could draw in other major powers like Russia, China, and Turkey, escalating into a broader international conflict. They also caution that expectations of a quick victory are unrealistic and that a prolonged or unsuccessful war could damage Trump politically and expose deeper dissatisfaction among his political base, which the speaker believes is increasingly disillusioned.