Col Doug Macgregor: NOVORUSSIA is PUTIN'S PLAN NOW

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Diplomatic talks are ongoing but show little progress. A trilateral meeting involving the United States, Ukraine, and Russia is scheduled in Geneva to explore negotiation possibilities. However, recent statements from Russian and Ukrainian officials suggest positions remain largely unchanged, and meaningful compromise appears unlikely at present.

General David Petraeus expressed optimism about Ukraine’s future. He argued that Ukraine’s wartime generation could rebuild the country into a powerful military-industrial and technological state after the war, comparable in national importance to America’s “Greatest Generation.”

The guest strongly rejected this optimistic view. He described Petraeus’s assessment as unrealistic, arguing that Ukraine has suffered severe demographic losses, destruction, and long-term damage. He claimed Ukraine would struggle to recover economically or militarily, and that Russia would never allow Ukraine to develop into a major military-industrial power.

Russia’s strategy is portrayed as deliberate and methodical. According to the guest:

Russia is relying on gradual advances supported by heavy firepower rather than rapid, large-scale maneuvers.

Drone warfare and modern surveillance have made traditional maneuver warfare difficult for both sides.

Russian forces are expected to continue seizing territory they consider strategically essential.

The guest predicted further Russian territorial objectives. He suggested Russia aims to capture or secure key areas in southern and eastern Ukraine, including coastal and industrial regions, to strengthen its strategic position.

The war is compared to attritional conflicts like World War I. Both sides have suffered heavy losses in prolonged fighting, with limited breakthroughs despite extensive air, missile, and ground operations.

Russia is described as acting cautiously to avoid direct war with NATO. While preparing for possible escalation, Russia’s leadership is portrayed as trying to avoid provoking a wider conflict involving NATO forces.

There is concern about escalation risks. The discussion concluded with warnings that direct confrontation between Russia and NATO could lead to catastrophic escalation, potentially including nuclear weapons.

Overall takeaway from the discussion

The conversation presents a highly pessimistic view of Ukraine’s prospects and a confident view of Russia’s long-term strategic position, while also acknowledging ongoing diplomatic talks and the risk of wider escalation.