Corn Finally Wakes Up - Start of a Rally??
October 17, 2025
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22:55Now PlayingCorn Finally Wakes Up - Start of a Rally??
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đ˝ Corn Market Turns Higher
Corn and soybean futures advanced Thursday, supported by smaller-than-expected yields and harvest delays from upcoming rains. Dec â25 corn added 5¢ to $4.22 while Nov â25 soybeans climbed 4¢ to $10.11. Strong domestic crush demand and tighter spreads helped fuel optimism. Corn calendar spreads have rallied sharplyâslow farmer selling and steady ethanol demand likely helped. đ
đ¨đł Chinaâs Soybean Dilemma
High Brazilian premiums ($2.80â$2.90 over futures) may force China to tap its state reserves as crush margins remain negative. With 43.5 mmt of soybeans in storageâthe largest on recordâChina has room to draw down stocks as it battles through the trade war.
đ Cattle Prices Hit New Highs
Live cattle surged to record levels, driven by tight supplies and border closures to Mexican cattle imports. Fat cattle traded $240/cwt in parts of the Midwest. The Trump administration says itâs working to lower beef prices, possibly through new import deals.
â˝ Ethanol Stays Strong
US ethanol production rose to 1.07 million bpd last week while stocks fell slightly. Margins across the Corn Belt remain solidâbetween 20â50¢ positive, according to Reuters.
đ CME Launches âPrediction Futuresâ
CME Group plans to roll out new contracts linked to sports and economic outcomes, partnering with FanDuel. These products could shake up prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket.
đŚď¸ Drought Update
USDA data shows 38% of the Corn Belt still under drought, though thatâs improved from last yearâs 53%. The worst areas remain in parts of Iowa, Illinois, Missouri, and South Dakota.
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