August 30, 2025
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40:40Now PlayingDaniel Davis Deep Dive Merch: Etsy store
Diplomacy between Russia, Ukraine, the U.S., and Europe has essentially collapsed, leaving the conflict focused almost entirely on the battlefield. Russia continues large-scale missile and drone strikes on Ukraine, while Ukraine has recently achieved notable successes by damaging Russian oil refineries—reportedly knocking out around 20% of refining capacity in the past month. This disruption affects Russia’s economy, though not yet its military supply lines. Meanwhile, the U.S. is sending significant arms support to Ukraine and applying pressure through sanctions, including new measures on India for buying Russian oil. However, experts doubt these sanctions will change India’s behavior, as it has strong economic incentives to keep purchasing cheap Russian energy. Instead, the U.S. pressure risks driving India closer to Russia and China, undermining Washington’s long-term strategy. The overall picture is one of continuing escalation with little prospect of meaningful diplomacy in the near term.
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