Daniel Davis Deep Dive
Daniel Davis Deep Dive
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Why are SO MANY EAGER for WAR /Lt Col Daniel Davis & Glenn Diesen

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October 7, 2025

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The discussion centers on Russia’s next moves in the Ukraine war and the West’s potential responses.

Glenn Diesen argues that Russia views NATO’s continual expansion and Western escalation as provocations it must eventually answer. Putin’s recent speech referencing “Novorossiya” (a broader region beyond Donbas) signals that Moscow’s ambitions may soon expand to include all historically Russian-speaking and industrial parts of southern and eastern Ukraine—essentially the Black Sea coast from Kharkiv to Odesa.

The analysis suggests Russia’s likely to pursue this expansion after Ukraine’s army becomes too depleted to resist. Western promises of future NATO membership for Kyiv, the speaker says, only make Russia more determined to seize strategic territory permanently.

Critics like France’s Macron underestimate Russia’s progress by focusing on territory gained rather than Ukraine’s catastrophic manpower and equipment losses. The war has become one of attrition, and when Ukraine’s defenses collapse, Russia can advance rapidly with minimal cost.

The speaker concludes that the West should negotiate now, accept that it lost a proxy war, and prevent further destruction. If not, Russia will take much more land.

If Ukraine ultimately falls, NATO will face humiliation, but Western leaders may spin it as a “partial victory” by claiming Russia failed to take all of Ukraine—just as they “moved on” from Afghanistan.

Finally, the speaker warns that a direct conventional war between NATO and Russia is now “more likely than not.” Europe appears eager to escalate but wants U.S. backing. Media narratives about “Russian hybrid attacks” are seen as pretexts for confrontation. The overarching message: the situation is approaching a dangerous point where miscalculation could lead to full-scale war.

Guests & Subjects Covered

Glenn DiesenBlack SeaOdesa TheFrances MacronIf UkraineAfghanistan Finally

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Why are SO MANY EAGER for WAR /Lt Col Daniel Davis & Glenn Diesen · Daniel Davis Deep Dive · Sentinel