Interview on UK
October 28, 2020
34,323
1,352
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Dr John Campbell Episodes Around October 28, 2020
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6:07Now PlayingInterview on UK
YouTube Description
as posted by the channelInterview on the latest UK numbers on LBC. The point is that the rate of increase is decreasing, if we carry on decreasing the rate of increase, soon we will have no increase in new cases. When there is no increase R will be zero. After this R will fall below 1 and so the new cases will reduce. BUT, we must continue the current measures to continue the reduction in the rate of increase.
As cases have increased in overall numbers, hospitalisations and deaths will inevitably follow. People dying today contracted the infection a month ago. This means deaths will continue to increase, but should reach a peak in late November, then start to drop. This is as long as the rate of increasing cases continues to decrease.
Cases, + 22,885 = 917,575
Cases, + 43,936
Current infections, 541,802
Current new cases, much less than March, 100,000 – 200,000 per day
October 20th to 27th cases increase of 7.3% on the week
October 9th to 16th cases up by 14%
September, doubling every 7 to 8 days
Increase halving every week
Increase hoped for next week, 3.5%
Week after that 1.75%
One month, hopefully no increase at all
Then R = less than 1
Hands, face, space, ventilation, vitamin D, less travel
Hospitalised, + 1, 152 = 9,199
Hospitalised, 12th April, 19, 849
Ventilator beds, = 852
Deaths, + 367 = 54,365
Deaths, up 50% on last week
Deaths, (certificated) + 761 (past week) = 58,925
Tests, + 261, 855 = 29, 994, 301
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