Grain Markets and Other Stuff
@grainmarketsandotherstuff·35K subscribers·1.5K videos
Did Corn/Soybeans Post "Harvest Lows" in August??
Posted
September 3, 2024
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Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.
Here's a recap of the latest updates:
🌾 Futures Rally:
Corn: The Dec24 corn contract gained 5 cents per bushel, closing above $4 for the first time since August 19. New crop corn futures have risen 16 cents per bushel from their late August low.
Soybeans: The Nov24 soybean contract increased by 8 cents per bushel, closing above $10 for the first time since August 9. New crop soybean futures rallied 53 cents from their August low to last week’s high. Fund traders were net buyers of 15,000 contracts of corn and 10,000 contracts of soybeans on Friday.
🌾 Brazilian Soybean Drought:
Severe Conditions: Brazil's soybean crops are facing the worst drought in over 40 years. Some areas are experiencing the driest conditions on record since 1981. Soybean planting in Mato Grosso is expected to be delayed due to below-average rainfall in September and October. Dry weather is forecast to continue for at least the next two weeks. See maps from CropProphet for details.
🌾 Fund Trader Positions:
Large Net Shorts: Fund traders hold a massive net short position across the grain complex. According to CFTC data:
Corn: Net short of 249,000 contracts (historically large).
Soybeans: Net short of 168,000 contracts (historically large).
SRW Wheat: Net sellers of 6,000 contracts.
🌾 Used Equipment Demand:
Growing Interest: Farmers are increasingly turning to used equipment due to low grain prices. Used tractors were in high demand at the Farm Progress Show in Iowa, with BigIron Auctions offering its largest-ever selection of used equipment. The drop in grain prices and reduced profits are leading farmers to cut back on new equipment purchases, which may further lower used equipment prices.
🌾 Flash Sales:
Soybeans and Meal:
132,000 metric tons (5 million bushels) of soybeans were sold to China for delivery during the 2024/2025 marketing year.
100,000 metric tons of soybean cake and meal were sold to Colombia for delivery during the 2024/2025 marketing year.
Keep an eye on these developments as they could have significant impacts on market trends and planning strategies! 🌽🌾📈
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