Grain Markets and Other Stuff
@grainmarketsandotherstuff·35K subscribers·1.5K videos
"Fast and Furious" US Harvest Pace
Posted
October 3, 2024
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🌾 Fast-Paced US Harvest Ahead
The US corn and soybean harvest is set to move quickly due to a dry forecast. USDA reported that the harvest pace for both crops is ahead of average. The most recent Euro model suggests no significant rainfall for the central United States over the next 10 days, with above-normal temperatures expected throughout the Corn Belt. This is excellent news for farmers looking to expedite their harvest!
🌧️ Brazil's Weather Update
A small storm cluster has moved over northern Mato Grosso, bringing some much-needed rain to Brazilian soybean areas. The 10-day Euro model predicts scattered rain across much of Brazil's soybean regions through next week, although total rainfall is expected to remain below normal. However, the 16-day GFS anomaly map indicates that key soybean areas may see closer-to-normal rainfall later this month.
🌾 Russia's Wheat Export Estimates Lowered
Estimates for Russia's wheat exports have been slightly reduced. Sovecon has lowered its forecast to 47.6 million metric tons due to unfavorable weather conditions affecting the harvest. Despite this reduction, wheat shipments from July to August remain slightly lower than last year's record levels. Russian wheat stocks are currently at 24.8 million metric tons, down 14% compared to last year.
🚁 Drone Attack Affects Ukrainian Ports
A recent Russian drone attack has damaged Ukrainian port infrastructure, raising concerns about Black Sea trade and causing Chicago wheat futures to hit a three-and-a-half month high. The attack targeted grain facilities near Ukraine's border with Romania and affected electricity supplies in the northern Sumy region, impacting almost 80,000 people.
🚜 US Ethanol Production Update
US ethanol production saw an increase last week, with weekly output at 1.02 million barrels per day, marking a 2.1% rise compared to the previous week and a 1% increase year-over-year. Ethanol stocks are currently at 23.5 million barrels, slightly down from the previous week but up 6.4% compared to last year. However, implied gasoline demand fell 7.4% from the previous week.
⚓ Dockworkers Strike Update
President Joe Biden has called for negotiations to resume between striking dockworkers and US port employers. While he’s not planning to intervene directly, Biden warned that the ongoing strike could lead to significant economic consequences. Talks have stalled over wage increases and automation issues, with the strike expected to increase consumer prices and cost the US economy billions.
Stay tuned for more updates as the situation evolves! 🌱📊
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