January 28, 2026
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In today’s update, we cover Trump’s comments on year-round E15, growing weakness in the U.S. dollar, 2026 acreage debates, heat stress in Argentina, fresh USDA flash sales, and China’s latest soybean buying behavior.
⛽🇺🇸 E15, Trump & The Fed
President Trump visited Iowa and said Congress is very close to approving year-round E15 sales
Comments come after the White House failed to include E15 language in the current funding bill
Trump declared the U.S. is entering a “golden age”
He said a new Fed Chair announcement is coming soon and predicted significantly lower interest rates
Click HERE to read Ag Secretary Brooke Rollins’ statement on E15
💵📉 U.S. Dollar Breakdown
The dollar hit its weakest level in nearly four years
Pressure is coming from policy uncertainty, fiscal risks, and political polarization
Euro, yen, and Swiss franc are at multi-year highs
Emerging-market currencies are trading at record levels
Investors are paying record premiums to hedge against further dollar weakness
See USD Index, USD/Brazil Real, BCOM, and Bloomberg Ag Subindex charts below
🌽🌱 2026 Acreage Debate
S&P Global estimates corn acreage at 95 million and soybeans at 84.5 million
Higher corn input costs and crop rotation favor soybeans
China’s renewed soybean purchases add support to bean acres
NCGA projects a $180/acre loss for corn
Pro Farmer notes fertilizer already applied and historical trends could keep corn acres elevated
Crop insurance guarantees in February will be key
See 2026 corn/soybean ratio chart below
🔥🇦🇷 Argentina Weather Stress
Temps nearing 104°F across major growing regions
Limited rain until February raises yield risks
USDA estimates: 53 mmt corn, 48.5 mmt soybeans
Planting nearly complete, but pasture conditions are deteriorating
Meal markets remain quiet; bean oil strong amid biofuel sentiment
See CropProphet map below
🚢📊 USDA Flash Sales
110,000 mt of corn sold to unknown destinations (2025/26)
306,000 mt of sorghum sold to unknown destinations (2025/26)
First U.S. sorghum flash sale since August 2024
🇨🇳🌎 China Soybean Buying
China booked at least 25 cargoes of Brazilian soybeans for Mar–Apr shipment
Brazil holds a strong price advantage over U.S. beans
China has now fulfilled its ~12 mmt U.S. purchase commitment
Recent U.S. buying appears obligation-driven, not structural
With large South American crops expected, China likely avoids U.S. beans until new crop this fall
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